+ Expectations could be higher than reality of announcement.
+ iWatch may be a nice item but will have hard time generating meaningful revenue bump.
+ If iPhone 6 disappoints then there will be a substantial sell-off.
- If iPhone 6 generates buzz stock has some room to increase but not a huge amount.
Tuesday, September 9, 2014
Thursday, August 7, 2014
Sell SCTY $75.90
Selling 10% of Solar City after considerable run-up.
+ Last quarter's beat will be hard to match.
+ CFO stepping down could mean trouble ahead.
- Several analyst have raised estimates which may mean Solar City will outperform.
+ Last quarter's beat will be hard to match.
+ CFO stepping down could mean trouble ahead.
- Several analyst have raised estimates which may mean Solar City will outperform.
Friday, July 18, 2014
Sell ITB Home Builder ETF
Sold half of ITB holding $23.52
- Housing starts and new permits were considerably lower than economists were expecting in June.
- Housing rebound seems very long in the tooth.
- Up day in the market is good selling opportunity.
- Housing starts and new permits were considerably lower than economists were expecting in June.
- Housing rebound seems very long in the tooth.
- Up day in the market is good selling opportunity.
Monday, June 23, 2014
Sell ITB, Buy IFN
Sold ITB $24.24 (25%)
+ Good numbers on May housing set up good day to sell
- Housing recovery getting very long in the tooth
- Interest rate hikes are approaching with every passing day
Bought IFN $25.10
+ Modi getting good press
+ India is set for recovery after several years of sub-par growth
+ Emerging markets have been out of favor for about a year which contributes to attractive price
+ Good numbers on May housing set up good day to sell
- Housing recovery getting very long in the tooth
- Interest rate hikes are approaching with every passing day
Bought IFN $25.10
+ Modi getting good press
+ India is set for recovery after several years of sub-par growth
+ Emerging markets have been out of favor for about a year which contributes to attractive price
Tuesday, June 17, 2014
Sell Solar City $65 (12%)
Sell 12% of Solar City (SCTY)
+ Stock up 10% today and up 30% in the last week, setting up selling opportunity
+ Market seems to be over compensating decision to buy panel manufacturer Silevo and create one of the world's largest production facilities
+ Panel business is low margin with lots of money losing Chinese competitors
+ Solar City is my biggest holding, selling 12% maintains diversity
+ Stock up 10% today and up 30% in the last week, setting up selling opportunity
+ Market seems to be over compensating decision to buy panel manufacturer Silevo and create one of the world's largest production facilities
+ Panel business is low margin with lots of money losing Chinese competitors
+ Solar City is my biggest holding, selling 12% maintains diversity
Wednesday, June 11, 2014
LendingMemo Interview with Renaud Laplanche
LendingClub is preparing an IPO. Renaud Laplanche sits down with Simon Cunningham of LendingMemo to explain why.
"There are typically three reasons why a company goes public, though interestingly only one really applies to Lending Club.
The first reason companies have an IPO is to raise capital, especially if they are not yet profitable...
The second reason companies go public is to provide liquidity for existing shareholders...
Really, the last reason is why we are considering an IPO, which is to use it as an opportunity to raise awareness for the company and better establish the brand...
I would like direct retail investors to continue to be 25-30% of the platform, with individual investors (whether direct retail or through a fund) to be more than 50% of the platform. The reason for this is that the retail and individual investor base will be more loyal to us, more predictable and more likely to maintain their investments in an economic downturn."
"There are typically three reasons why a company goes public, though interestingly only one really applies to Lending Club.
The first reason companies have an IPO is to raise capital, especially if they are not yet profitable...
The second reason companies go public is to provide liquidity for existing shareholders...
Really, the last reason is why we are considering an IPO, which is to use it as an opportunity to raise awareness for the company and better establish the brand...
I would like direct retail investors to continue to be 25-30% of the platform, with individual investors (whether direct retail or through a fund) to be more than 50% of the platform. The reason for this is that the retail and individual investor base will be more loyal to us, more predictable and more likely to maintain their investments in an economic downturn."
Friday, May 2, 2014
Buy LinkedIn, Sell Panera
Bought LinkedIn LNKD $157
+ Q1 revenue $473.2m +46%, analyst average estimated $466
+ Q1 earnings $0.38, analysts average estimate $0.34
+ Stock has been beaten down from $250 to $157 in 6 months setting up buying opp
+ Unemployment big drop to 6.3% - 288,000 jobs created, ahead of consensus estimate 210,000 which should lead companies to spend more on talent. LinkedIn derives $275m from talent solutions for recruiters compared to $98m for premium membership.
Sold Panera PNRA $157 all shares
- See reasons for selling from previous post.
Freeing up cash for Lending Club IPO
+ Q1 revenue $473.2m +46%, analyst average estimated $466
+ Q1 earnings $0.38, analysts average estimate $0.34
+ Stock has been beaten down from $250 to $157 in 6 months setting up buying opp
+ Unemployment big drop to 6.3% - 288,000 jobs created, ahead of consensus estimate 210,000 which should lead companies to spend more on talent. LinkedIn derives $275m from talent solutions for recruiters compared to $98m for premium membership.
Sold Panera PNRA $157 all shares
- See reasons for selling from previous post.
Freeing up cash for Lending Club IPO
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